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The Recession > Blog > Inflation > US Futures Rise as Government Shutdown Nears End and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Grow
Inflation

US Futures Rise as Government Shutdown Nears End and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Grow

Last updated: November 12, 2025 2:31 pm
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# US Futures Rise as Government Shutdown Nears End and Fed Rate Cut Expectations Grow

## Market Overview

US futures are on the rise this morning, buoyed by anticipation that the prolonged government shutdown, which has lasted for 43 days, may soon come to an end. The House of Representatives is expected to vote on a spending bill later today, with President Trump’s backing, which could restore normal government operations by funding agencies until January 30th. As of 8:15 AM, S&P 500 futures are up 0.4%, while Nasdaq futures have climbed 0.7%. This optimism is further fueled by expectations of an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve next month, following disappointing employment data.

## Key Drivers of Market Sentiment

### Government Shutdown and Economic Data

The potential reopening of the government is critical for restoring market confidence. The recent soft ADP jobs report—showing a decline in private sector employment—has spurred traders to price in a higher likelihood of interest rate cuts. The Federal Reserve’s ability to respond to economic conditions is currently hampered by a lack of data during the shutdown, leading to divisions among policymakers about the best course of action.

### AI and Technology Boost

The technology sector is also contributing to market gains, particularly the “Magnificent Seven” stocks, which include major players like Nvidia and AMD. Nvidia shares are up 1.5% this morning, while AMD has gained 5% after forecasting robust sales growth driven by demand for its data center products. This trend highlights the ongoing investment in artificial intelligence, which continues to attract market attention and funding.

## Key Earnings Reports

Several companies are drawing investor focus with their earnings reports today:

– **Alcon (ALC)**: Shares rose 5% after the eye-care company reported better-than-expected core earnings per share.
– **GlobalFoundries (GFS)**: This semiconductor manufacturer saw its stock climb 6% following a positive earnings report.
– **Bill Holdings Inc. (BILL)**: Shares surged 11% as the company explores potential sale options.

Conversely, **Black Rock Coffee Bar (BRCB)** saw its stock decline by 7% after reporting disappointing earnings.

## Actionable Takeaways for Investors

1. **Monitor Government Developments**: Keep an eye on the House vote regarding the government shutdown. A positive outcome could lead to a market rally, while further delays could heighten uncertainty and volatility.

2. **Evaluate Economic Indicators**: Pay attention to upcoming economic data releases, especially jobs reports and inflation metrics, as these will influence Fed policy and market direction.

3. **Focus on Technology Stocks**: The tech sector, particularly companies involved in AI, is showing strong growth potential. Consider evaluating positions in stocks like Nvidia and AMD, which are likely to benefit from continued investment in technology.

4. **Diversification Strategy**: With emerging markets expected to outperform US stocks in the coming years, consider diversifying your portfolio to include international equities that may benefit from a weaker dollar and higher growth prospects.

5. **Stay Informed on Fed Policy**: Watch for comments from Federal Reserve officials throughout the day, as their insights may provide clues on future monetary policy direction, especially in light of the recent economic data.

## Conclusion

The convergence of a potential government reopening, soft job data increasing the odds of a Fed rate cut, and strong corporate earnings reports are setting a positive tone in the markets today. Investors should remain vigilant for further developments and adjust strategies accordingly to capitalize on evolving market conditions.

TAGGED:corporate earningsFederal Reservegovernment shutdowninterest ratesstock marketUS futures
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